Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki (Finland), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday


	Jacob Fearnley		Kei Nishikori

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.6	2.19	Watch
	1.69	2.25
	1.71	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.57)	2.2 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
57.4%

Kei Nishikori
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jacob Fearnley - Kei Nishikori Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Nishikori will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fearnley: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 94. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 132.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Fearnley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fearnley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
06.11.24	Jacob Fearnley - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Jacob Fearnley - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Dino Prizmic - Jacob Fearnley	2:1 ✺
30.10.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Lukas Pokorny - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Kei Nishikori
ATP Challenger
07.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Jerome Kym	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Roman Safiullin - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
31.10.24	Kei Nishikori - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

Jacob Fearnley - Kei Nishikori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide