Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Belgrade 2 (Serbia), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday


	Christopher OConnell		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.67	1.53
	2.56	1.56	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.67	1.48	Watch
	2.7	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.77)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
36%

Denis Shapovalov
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	6.2%	75%

Christopher OConnell - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: Denis Shapovalov will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

OConnell is ranked ATP: 71. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 78.

Recent matches OConnell is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shapovalov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

OConnell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shapovalov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Shapovalov to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Belgrade 2
06.11.24	Daniel Altmaier - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
04.11.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christopher OConnell	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLL?
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Belgrade 2
06.11.24	Denis Shapovalov - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Denis Shapovalov - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Denis Shapovalov - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
25.10.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL

Christopher OConnell - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide