Match Info

Date: 24 January 2022, Monday


	Denis Shapovalov		Rafael Nadal

	1	2
	3.4	1.33
	3.2	1.35	Watch
	3.2	1.36
	3.25	1.33
	3.38	1.36
	3.3	1.33
	3.55	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
28.9%

Rafael Nadal
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Rafael Nadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Nadal than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.1%	0%	44.9%

Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Nadal Predictions

Users Predictions: 98 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 54 - 55.1%). Nadal will win (votes: 44 - 44.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 45.3% – 64.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Both players in the last matches got series of victories.

In this match Nadal is a favorite.

During last matches two players got success in matches and won.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Australian Open
22.01.22	Alexander Zverev - Denis Shapovalov	0:3 ✺
20.01.22	Reilly Opelka - Denis Shapovalov	1:3 ✺
18.01.22	Soon Woo Kwon - Denis Shapovalov	2:3 ✺
16.01.22	Laslo Djere - Denis Shapovalov	1:3 ✺
ATP Cup
09.01.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWWW
- Rafael Nadal
ATP Australian Open
22.01.22	Adrian Mannarino - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
21.01.22	Karen Khachanov - Rafael Nadal	1:3 ✺
18.01.22	Yannick Hanfmann - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
16.01.22	Marcos Giron - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
ATP Melbourne Summer Set
09.01.22	Rafael Nadal - Maxime Cressy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Abu Dhabi Exhibition
18.12.21	Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Nadal	2:1
ATP Roma
13.05.21	Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Nadal	1:2
Davis Cup World Group
24.11.19	Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Nadal	0:2
ATP Paris
02.11.19	Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Nadal	Shapovalov D. walkover
ATP Roma
17.05.18	Rafael Nadal - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Montreal
10.08.17	Rafael Nadal - Denis Shapovalov	1:2

Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Nadal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide