Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zug, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday


	Denis Yevseyev		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.29	1.32	Watch
	3.04	1.35	Watch
	2.96	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.96)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
29.2%

Calvin Hemery
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

73.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Denis Yevseyev - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Hemery (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hemery (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 280. Hemery is ranked ATP: 171.

Yevseyev is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hemery's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hemery may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hemery is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yevseyev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Denis Yevseyev - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Zsombor Piros - Denis Yevseyev	Canceled ✺
17.06.25	Denis Yevseyev - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
08.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.06.25	Ignacio Buse - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 L?LLL
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Gstaad
15.07.25	Jerome Kym - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Calvin Hemery - Facundo Bagnis	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Calvin Hemery - Filip Cristian Jianu	Hemery C. retired ✺
06.07.25	Jan Choinski - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.11.24	Calvin Hemery - Denis Yevseyev	2:1
06.11.22	Denis Yevseyev - Calvin Hemery	2:0
10.02.19	Denis Yevseyev - Calvin Hemery	2:0

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