Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday


	Calvin Hemery		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.78
			Watch
	1.33	3.12	Watch
	1.62	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.63)	2.71 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
65.2%

Facundo Bagnis
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calvin Hemery's performance.

Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Facundo Bagnis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calvin Hemery that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Bagnis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Calvin Hemery - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hemery will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hemery (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Hemery (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hemery (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hemery is ranked ATP: 178. Bagnis is ranked ATP: 844.

Hemery is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bagnis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bagnis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hemery is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Gstaad
12.07.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Calvin Hemery - Filip Cristian Jianu	Hemery C. retired ✺
06.07.25	Jan Choinski - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 W?LWW
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Gstaad
12.07.25	Facundo Bagnis - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Facundo Bagnis - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Facundo Bagnis - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Canceled ✺
12.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Facundo Bagnis - Conner Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WL?LW

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