Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BREST (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Constant Lestienne

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.2	1.32
	3.4	1.35
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.18	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.59)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
28.8%

Constant Lestienne
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Martinez Portero's form might have worsened.

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Constant Lestienne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Constant Lestienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Constant Lestienne Predictions

Users Predictions: Constant Lestienne will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Lestienne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lestienne is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lestienne to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
27.10.23	Zsombor Piros - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
26.10.23	Radu Albot - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
19.10.23	Kyrian Jacquet - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
17.10.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
27.10.23	Constant Lestienne - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
26.10.23	Constant Lestienne - Benoit Paire	Paire B. retired ✺
25.10.23	Constant Lestienne - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
20.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Arthur Cazaux - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 W?WLW

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