Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6
Tanzania	TV E


	Denis Yevseyev		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	5.25	1.15
	5.2	1.16	Watch
	6.2	1.15
	5.6	1.16	Watch
	6	1.12	Watch
	5.05	1.18	Watch
	5.2	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↑ (3.27)	1.16 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
17.5%

Roberto Carballes Baena
82.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Yevseyev's form might have worsened.

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Denis Yevseyev - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yevseyev is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carballes Baena in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Yevseyev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carballes Baena is certain favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Bastad
16.07.24	Denis Yevseyev - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
15.07.24	Manuel Guinard - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
14.07.24	Ludvig Fredrik Hede - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Denis Yevseyev - Damir Dzumhur	Canceled ✺
03.07.24	Denis Yevseyev - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWW?L
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Bastad
16.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
12.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
10.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Lukas Klein	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Denis Yevseyev - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide