Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Denis Yevseyev		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.71	2.18
	1.6	2.18	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.56)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
56.8%

Samuele Pieri
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Samuele Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samuele Pieri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Denis Yevseyev - Samuele Pieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Yevseyev will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 364. Pieri is ranked ATP: 494.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Yevseyev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yevseyev could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Denis Yevseyev - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Denis Yevseyev - Filip Pieczonka	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Denis Yevseyev - David Vega Hernandez	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Denis Yevseyev - Jay Clarke	Canceled ✺
17.02.26	Alexandr Binda - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLW?L
- Samuele Pieri
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Fran Rakonic	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Alexander Donski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL

Denis Yevseyev - Samuele Pieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide