Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Samuele Pieri		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.8	1.39
	2.82	1.46
	2.74	1.4	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.05)	1.4 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samuele Pieri
33%

Daniel Michalski
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuele Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Samuele Pieri - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pieri is ranked ATP: 494. Michalski is ranked ATP: 266.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Michalski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Michalski is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuele Pieri
ATP Challenger
16.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Fran Rakonic	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Alexander Donski	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Jerome Kym	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW
- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Alastair Gray - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Michael Geerts - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Karan Singh - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Yi Zhou - Daniel Michalski	Michalski D. retired ✺
30.01.26	Daniel Michalski - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLW?W

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