Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday


	Dennis Novak		Christian Garin

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.48	1.48	Watch
	2.71	1.48
	2.62	1.49	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.51	1.49	Watch
	2.48	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.44)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
36.8%

Christian Garin
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Dennis Novak - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Novak will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Garin will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Novak is ranked ATP: 298. Garin is ranked ATP: 122.

Novak is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Garin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Garin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Garin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Dennis Novak - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
07.10.24	Dennis Novak - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Dennis Novak - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Dennis Novak - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
23.09.24	Dennis Novak - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW
- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Benoit Paire - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Carlos Taberner - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
02.10.24	Jan Choinski - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
03.09.24	Christian Garin - Kris van Wyk	0:2 ✺
02.09.24	Christian Garin - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWL?

Dennis Novak - Christian Garin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide