Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2024, Tuesday


	Dennis Novak		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.78	2.08
	1.75	2.01	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)	1.98 ↑ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
52.9%

Matej Dodig
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Dennis Novak - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Novak will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dodig will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Novak is ranked ATP: 298. Dodig is ranked ATP: 268.

Novak is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dodig is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dodig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
07.10.24	Dennis Novak - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Dennis Novak - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Dennis Novak - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
23.09.24	Dennis Novak - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Dennis Novak - Pedro Araujo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
01.10.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Matej Dodig - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Matej Dodig - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Matej Dodig - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Thiago Monteiro - Matej Dodig	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWL?

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