Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HAMBURG (GERMANY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 October 2023, Monday


	Dennis Novak		Marko Topo

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.2	4
	1.2	4.2	Watch
	1.22	4.5
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.2	4.2	Watch
	1.19	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.31)	4.24 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
77.9%

Marko Topo
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dennis Novak's performance.

Marko Topo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marko Topo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dennis Novak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marko Topo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dennis Novak - Marko Topo Predictions

Users Predictions: Dennis Novak will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Novak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Novak is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Dennis Novak - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
09.10.23	Dennis Novak - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Dennis Novak - Leo Borg	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Hugo Grenier - Dennis Novak	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Elias Ymer - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW
- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
08.10.23	Marko Topo - Kacper Zuk	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.09.23	Valentin Vacherot - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Marko Topo - Zoran Ludoski	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Marko Topo - Nikola Basic	2:0 ✺
07.09.23	Bor Artnak - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWWL

Dennis Novak - Marko Topo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide