Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ALICANTE (SPAIN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday


	Elias Ymer		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.36	1.64
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.69	Watch
	2.17	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.06)	1.67 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
43.6%

Dennis Novak
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Elias Ymer - Dennis Novak Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Novak will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novak: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ymer is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novak is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Novak to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ymer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Adrian Andreev - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
28.09.23	Richard Gasquet - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
27.09.23	Elias Ymer - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Elias Ymer - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWL
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Dennis Novak - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Dennis Novak - Jakub Mensik	Canceled ✺
25.09.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Dennis Novak	2:1 ✺
25.09.23	Dennis Novak - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.06.23	Dennis Novak - Elias Ymer	1:2
07.10.21	Dennis Novak - Elias Ymer	2:0

Elias Ymer - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide