Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ZADAR (CROATIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Dennis Novak		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
			Watch
	2	1.82
	2.01	1.83
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.88	1.78	Watch
	2.08	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.74)	1.79 ↓ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
47.7%

Timofey Skatov
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dennis Novak's form might have worsened.

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Timofey Skatov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dennis Novak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Timofey Skatov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Dennis Novak - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Novak will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Skatov will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novak: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Skatov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Matteo Gigante - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
22.02.24	Jules Marie - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
20.02.24	Alexis Galarneau - Dennis Novak	1:2 ✺
30.01.24	Jurij Rodionov - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
18.01.24	Dennis Novak - Seong Chan Hong	Novak D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWL?
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
11.03.24	Timofey Skatov - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Salvatore Caruso - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Timofey Skatov - Mohamed Safwat	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LLLWW

Dennis Novak - Timofey Skatov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide