Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Diego Dedura-Palomero		Vadym Ursu

	1	2
			Watch
	1.23	3.7	Watch
	1.22	3.55
	1.23	3.74	Watch
	1.23	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)	3.67 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diego Dedura-Palomero
74.9%

Vadym Ursu
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Dedura-Palomero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Vadym Ursu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diego Dedura-Palomero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vadym Ursu than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vadym Ursu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Diego Dedura Palomero - Vadym Ursu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 186., and Ursu is ranked ATP: 401..

Both players have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Ursu may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Dedura-Palomero for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Vadym Ursu - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.82%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Dusan Lajovic - Diego Dedura-Palomero	Lajovic D. Retired ✺
10.09.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLW?L
- Vadym Ursu
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Joao Domingues - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Vadym Ursu - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Hugo Grenier - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Vadym Ursu	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Vadym Ursu - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWL

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