The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 41.5%
Aslan Karatsev 58.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
49.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
49.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diego Sebastian Schwartzman's form might have worsened.
Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aslan Karatsev's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Sebastian Schwartzman than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diego Sebastian Schwartzman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
34.3%
0%
65.7%
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Aslan Karatsev Predictions
Users Predictions:
105 users predict this event. Schwartzman will win (votes: 36 - 34.3%). Karatsev will win (votes: 69 - 65.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Karatsev: 56.6% – 74.8%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
One and the other player has got a line of lost games.
Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Schwartzman will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.