Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Denmark	Eurosport 2
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France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 2
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World	Eurosport 2


	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.95	1.41
	2.8	1.44
	2.99	1.45
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.92	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.5)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
33.5%

Francis Tiafoe
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Sebastian Schwartzman than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (84 of 96 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.88% – 94.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Tiafoe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tiafoe will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Schwartzman won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
ATP US Open
01.09.22	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Alexei Popyrin	3:0 ✺
30.08.22	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Jack Sock	Sock J. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
16.08.22	Aslan Karatsev - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
15.08.22	Alex Molcan - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 W?LWW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP US Open
01.09.22	Jason Kubler - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
30.08.22	Marcos Giron - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.22	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
15.08.22	Matteo Berrettini - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.22	Francis Tiafoe - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
29.10.21	Francis Tiafoe - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.21	Francis Tiafoe - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2
ATP Barcelona
21.04.21	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Francis Tiafoe	2:1

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