The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 33.8%
Dominic Thiem 66.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.3%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.9%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-32.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diego Sebastian Schwartzman's form might have worsened.
Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dominic Thiem's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Sebastian Schwartzman than the current prediction. (+35.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diego Sebastian Schwartzman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-35.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dominic Thiem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
49.4%
0%
50.6%
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Dominic Thiem Predictions
Users Predictions:
160 users predict this event. Schwartzman will win (votes: 79 - 49.4%). Thiem will win (votes: 81 - 50.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 42.9% – 58.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Preview
Schwartzman is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Thiem in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Thiem will have a poor advantage in this game.
Thiem will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Schwartzman won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-14.
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