Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Dimitris Sakellaridis		Niels McDonald

	1	2
			Watch
	3.50	1.26
	3.65	1.27
	3.74	1.30
	3.42	1.27	Watch
	3.65	1.27	Watch
	3.49	1.26	Watch
	3.50	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.39)	1.27 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dimitris Sakellaridis
26.3%

Niels McDonald
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dimitris Sakellaridis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dimitris Sakellaridis's form might have worsened.

Niels McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niels McDonald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dimitris Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dimitris Sakellaridis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niels McDonald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Dimitris Sakellaridis - Niels McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sakellaridis will win (votes: 3 - 75%). McDonald will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 567. McDonald is ranked ATP: 509.

Sakellaridis is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, McDonald has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, McDonald is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dimitris Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Miguel Damas - Dimitris Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.07.26	Johan Nikles - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Lorenzo Bocchi - Dimitris Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWLWW
- Niels McDonald
ATP Umag
14.07.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Niels McDonald - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Niels McDonald - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Niels McDonald - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL

Dimitris Sakellaridis - Niels McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide