Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Dmitry Popko		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.16	1.6
	2.22	1.6	Watch
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.26)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dmitry Popko
42.4%

Jan Choinski
57.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dmitry Popko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Dmitry Popko - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Popko will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Choinski will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Popko is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Choinski in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Choinski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Choinski will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Choinski to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Popko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
04.10.22	Dmitry Popko - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
01.10.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
30.09.22	Dmitry Popko - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
29.09.22	Dmitry Popko - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
27.09.22	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWW
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
10.10.22	Jan Choinski - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
08.10.22	Remy Bertola - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
07.10.22	Jan Choinski - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
05.10.22	Jan Choinski - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
04.10.22	Jan Choinski - Gonzalo Lama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.08.19	Dmitry Popko - Jan Choinski	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Dmitry Popko - James MacKinlay	✺

Dmitry Popko - Jan Choinski