Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Dmitry Popko		Mateus Alves

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.04	1.7
	1.90	1.80	Watch
	1.89	1.79	Watch
	1.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.84)	1.75 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dmitry Popko
47.1%

Mateus Alves
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dmitry Popko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Dmitry Popko - Mateus Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Popko will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Alves will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popko: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Popko (votes: 2 - 40%). Alves (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popko is ranked ATP: 226. Alves is ranked ATP: 447.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Popko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Popko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Dmitry Popko - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Mateus Alves - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Alfredo Perez - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Daniel Milavsky - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Max Wiskandt - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Bor Artnak - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW
- Mateus Alves
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Mateus Alves - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Mateus Alves - Yassine Dlimi	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Mateus Alves - Victor Bini	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Mateus Alves - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.03.24	Mateus Alves - Dmitry Popko	1:2

Dmitry Popko - Mateus Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide