Match Info

Date: 28 September 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	03:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	SportKlub
Croatia	19:00	SportKlub
Germany	19:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	18:00	Sport TV
Serbia	19:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	19:00	SportKlub
Ukraine	20:00	Setanta Sports


	Dominic Thiem		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.5	1.53
	2.45	1.51
	2.56	1.58
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.56	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.2)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominic Thiem
37.8%

Marin Cilic
62.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dominic Thiem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marin Cilic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39%	0%	61%

Dominic Thiem - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Thiem will win (votes: 16 - 39%). Cilic will win (votes: 25 - 61%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 46.1% – 75.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Thiem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cilic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Thiem won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominic Thiem
ATP Tel Aviv
26.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Laslo Djere	2:1 ✺
ATP Metz
22.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
21.09.22	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Hugo Gaston - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW
- Marin Cilic
ATP US Open
05.09.22	Marin Cilic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Marin Cilic - Daniel Evans	3:1 ✺
01.09.22	Marin Cilic - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	3:0 ✺
30.08.22	Marin Cilic - Maximilian Marterer	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.22	Marin Cilic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
28.09.20	Marin Cilic - Dominic Thiem	0:3
ATP US Open
05.09.20	Marin Cilic - Dominic Thiem	1:3
ATP Montreal
08.08.19	Marin Cilic - Dominic Thiem	0:2
ATP Brisbane
08.01.16	Marin Cilic - Dominic Thiem	1:2

Dominic Thiem - Marin Cilic