Match Info

Date: 22 September 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV


	Dominic Thiem		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.05	1.38
	2.9	1.38
	3.2	1.4
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	3.04	1.38	Watch
	3.05	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.26)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominic Thiem
31.9%

Hubert Hurkacz
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dominic Thiem's form might have worsened.

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hubert Hurkacz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dominic Thiem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hubert Hurkacz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Dominic Thiem - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Thiem will win (votes: 9 - 30%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 21 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Thiem is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hurkacz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Thiem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hurkacz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Thiem won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominic Thiem
ATP Metz
21.09.22	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Hugo Gaston - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
16.09.22	Adrian Andreev - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
15.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP US Open
01.09.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Ilya Ivashka	1:3 ✺
30.08.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Oscar Otte	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.22	John Isner - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
14.08.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cup
07.01.20	Dominic Thiem - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2
ATP Miami
22.03.19	Dominic Thiem - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2

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