Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	Dominic Thiem		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	2.3	1.61	Watch
	2.4	1.6
	2.5	1.56	Watch
	2.37	1.54
	2.56	1.59
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.57	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.45)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominic Thiem
39.4%

Novak Djokovic
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Novak Djokovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.1%	0%	23.9%

Dominic Thiem - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 134 users predict this event. Thiem will win (votes: 102 - 76.1%). Djokovic will win (votes: 32 - 23.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 68.9% – 83.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Thiem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Thiem will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Djokovic won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominic Thiem
ATP World Tour Finals
19.11.20	Dominic Thiem - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
17.11.20	Rafael Nadal - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
15.11.20	Dominic Thiem - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
30.10.20	Andrey Rublev - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
29.10.20	Christian Garin - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLW
- Novak Djokovic
ATP World Tour Finals
20.11.20	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
18.11.20	Novak Djokovic - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
16.11.20	Novak Djokovic - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
30.10.20	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
28.10.20	Novak Djokovic - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
02.02.20	Dominic Thiem - Novak Djokovic	2:3
ATP World Tour Finals
12.11.19	Novak Djokovic - Dominic Thiem	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
08.06.19	Novak Djokovic - Dominic Thiem	2:3
ATP Madrid
11.05.19	Novak Djokovic - Dominic Thiem	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
19.04.18	Novak Djokovic - Dominic Thiem	1:2
ATP Kooyong Classic
09.01.18	Novak Djokovic - Dominic Thiem	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
07.06.17	Dominic Thiem - Novak Djokovic	3:0

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