Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rod Laver Arena (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	14:40	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	05:40	Eurosport 1, Max
Croatia	04:40	Max
Czech Republic	04:40	Eurosport 1, Max
Denmark	04:40	Max
Finland	05:40	Eurosport 1, Max
France	04:40	Eurosport 1, Max
Germany	04:40	Discovery+
Hungary	04:40	Max
Italy	04:40	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Netherlands	04:40	Eurosport 1
Norway	04:40	Eurosport 1, MAX
Poland	04:40	Eurosport 1, Max
Romania	05:40	Eurosport 1, Max
Serbia	04:40	Max
Slovenia	04:40	Max
Spain	04:40	Eurosport 1
Sweden	04:40	Eurosport 1, Max
Switzerland	04:40	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Info, SRF Info
Turkey	06:40	Eurosport 1
United Kingdom	03:40	Discovery+ UK, Eurosport 1


	Novak Djokovic		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.6	2.3
	1.64	2.4
	1.66	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.7	2.18	Watch
	1.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novak Djokovic
58.6%

Alexander Zverev
41.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.7%	0%	62.3%

Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Djokovic will win (votes: 29 - 37.7%). Zverev will win (votes: 48 - 62.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 51.5% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Djokovic is ranked ATP: 7. Zverev is ranked ATP: 2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Djokovic won 2.

Two players got a triumph in the latest matches.

Djokovic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Djokovic to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Djokovic won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:15 (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novak Djokovic
ATP Australian Open
21.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Jiri Lehecka	3:0 ✺
17.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Tomas Machac	3:0 ✺
14.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Jaime Faria	3:1 ✺
13.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Australian Open
20.01.25	Tommy Paul - Alexander Zverev	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	Ugo Humbert - Alexander Zverev	1:3 ✺
16.01.25	Jacob Fearnley - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
15.01.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	Lucas Pouille - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
19.08.23	Alexander Zverev - Novak Djokovic	0:2
Exhibition World Tennis League
20.12.22	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP World Tour Finals
20.11.21	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	1:2
ATP US Open
10.09.21	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	3:2
ATP Olympic Games
30.07.21	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	1:2
ATP Australian Open
16.02.21	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	3:1
ATP Cup
04.02.21	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novak Djokovic
ATP Basel
29.10.26	Novak Djokovic - Jan-Lennard Struff	✺
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Tallon Griekspoor	✺

Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev