Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BRISBANE (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 January 2024, Tuesday


	Dominic Thiem		Rafael Nadal

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.37	1.64
	2.37	1.65
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.58	Watch
	2.22	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (3.01)	1.62 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominic Thiem
40.9%

Rafael Nadal
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dominic Thiem's performance.

Rafael Nadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rafael Nadal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	0%	65%

Dominic Thiem - Rafael Nadal Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Thiem will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Nadal will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nadal: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thiem won 3.

Recent matches Thiem is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nadal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nadal will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Thiem won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominic Thiem
ATP Brisbane
30.12.23	Dominic Thiem - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
29.12.23	Dominic Thiem - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
ATP Metz
07.11.23	Ugo Humbert - Dominic Thiem	2:1 ✺
06.11.23	Matteo Martineau - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
01.11.23	Dominic Thiem - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Rafael Nadal
ATP Australian Open
17.01.23	Rafael Nadal - Mackenzie McDonald	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Rafael Nadal - Jack Draper	3:1 ✺
ATP United Cup
02.01.23	Rafael Nadal - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
30.12.22	Rafael Nadal - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
17.11.22	Rafael Nadal - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition A Day at the Drive
29.01.21	Rafael Nadal - Dominic Thiem	2:0
ATP World Tour Finals
17.11.20	Rafael Nadal - Dominic Thiem	0:2
ATP Australian Open
29.01.20	Rafael Nadal - Dominic Thiem	1:3
ATP Roland Garros
09.06.19	Dominic Thiem - Rafael Nadal	1:3
ATP Barcelona
27.04.19	Rafael Nadal - Dominic Thiem	0:2
ATP US Open
04.09.18	Rafael Nadal - Dominic Thiem	3:2
ATP Roland Garros
10.06.18	Rafael Nadal - Dominic Thiem	3:0

Dominic Thiem - Rafael Nadal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide