Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Rod Laver Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nine Network, Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Russia	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
World	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2


	Rafael Nadal		Jack Draper

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.1
	1.38	3.05
	1.37	2.95
	1.43	3.1
	1.36	3.1
	1.38	3.04	Watch
	1.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.22)	3.09 ↓ (4)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Nadal
69.2%

Jack Draper
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Nadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rafael Nadal's form might have worsened.

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Draper's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	0%	52.6%

Rafael Nadal - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Nadal will win (votes: 27 - 47.4%). Draper will win (votes: 30 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 39.6% – 65.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Recent matches Draper is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Draper could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nadal is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Nadal
ATP United Cup
02.01.23	Rafael Nadal - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
30.12.22	Rafael Nadal - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
17.11.22	Rafael Nadal - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
15.11.22	Rafael Nadal - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Rafael Nadal - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLL
- Jack Draper
ATP Adelaide 2
13.01.23	Jack Draper - Soon Woo Kwon	1:2 ✺
11.01.23	Jack Draper - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
10.01.23	Tommy Paul - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Adelaide
03.01.23	Jack Draper - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL

Rafael Nadal - Jack Draper: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide