Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Bernardes C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2


	Dominik Koepfer		Andrea Vavassori

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.68	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.33
	1.67	2.33
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.7	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.98)	2.23 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominik Koepfer
57.1%

Andrea Vavassori
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominik Koepfer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dominik Koepfer's performance.

Andrea Vavassori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Vavassori might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominik Koepfer than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dominik Koepfer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Vavassori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Dominik Koepfer - Andrea Vavassori Predictions

Users Predictions: Dominik Koepfer will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Koepfer has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vavassori is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vavassori could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Koepfer will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Koepfer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominik Koepfer
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Dominik Koepfer - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
16.04.24	Christian Garin - Dominik Koepfer	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Dominik Koepfer - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
03.04.24	Dominik Koepfer - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
26.03.24	Dominik Koepfer - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Andrea Vavassori - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Andrea Vavassori - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Harold Mayot - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	David Jorda Sanchis - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Andrea Vavassori - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.01.24	Dominik Koepfer - Andrea Vavassori	2:0

Dominik Koepfer - Andrea Vavassori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide