Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CANBERRA (AUSTRALIA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 January 2024, Thursday


	Dominik Koepfer		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.78	2.11
	1.79	2.11
	1.8	1.91
	1.77	1.95	Watch
	1.78	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.53)	1.99 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominik Koepfer
52.7%

Gabriel Diallo
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominik Koepfer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dominik Koepfer's form might have worsened.

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriel Diallo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominik Koepfer than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dominik Koepfer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriel Diallo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Dominik Koepfer - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Koepfer will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Diallo will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Koepfer: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Koepfer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Koepfer won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominik Koepfer
ATP Challenger
03.01.24	Dominik Koepfer - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
02.01.24	Dominik Koepfer - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
01.01.24	Dominik Koepfer - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
17.11.23	Dominik Koepfer - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
16.11.23	Dominik Koepfer - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Challenger
03.01.24	Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
02.01.24	Rudolf Molleker - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
31.12.23	Gabriel Diallo - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
21.11.23	Gabriel Diallo - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.11.23	Gabriel Diallo - Michael Vrbensky	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.11.23	Dominik Koepfer - Gabriel Diallo	Koepfer D. walkover
12.11.22	Dominik Koepfer - Gabriel Diallo	2:0

Dominik Koepfer - Gabriel Diallo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide