Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Gabriel Diallo		Matteo Gigante

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.27	3.58	Watch
	1.32	3.73
	1.28	3.73	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.29	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)	3.63 ↑ (3.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
73.7%

Matteo Gigante
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Matteo Gigante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriel Diallo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Gigante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gigante will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Diallo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gigante (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Gigante (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Gigante (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Diallo (votes: 1 - 20%). Gigante (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 36. Gigante is ranked ATP: 125.

In recent matches, Diallo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gigante is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gigante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Diallo is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diallo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriel Diallo - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 71.82%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Ben Shelton - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Fabian Marozsan - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Gabriel Diallo	3:2 ✺
30.06.25	Gabriel Diallo - Daniel Altmaier	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
26.06.25	Gabriel Diallo - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLWL
- Matteo Gigante
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Borna Coric - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.07.25	Lukas Klein - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Matteo Gigante - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Matteo Gigante - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Matteo Gigante - Kalin Ivanovski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.01.24	Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.23	Matteo Gigante - Gabriel Diallo	2:0

Gabriel Diallo - Matteo Gigante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide