Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart (Germany), grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 2


	Lorenzo Musetti		Dominik Koepfer

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.51	2.44	Watch
	1.6	2.5
	1.59	2.47
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.59	Watch
	1.53	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)	2.48 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
61.7%

Dominik Koepfer
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Dominik Koepfer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominik Koepfer than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	0%	26.3%

Lorenzo Musetti - Dominik Koepfer Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Koepfer will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Musetti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Musetti will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Musetti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Last Results with these Odds

Dominik Koepfer - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 42.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Stuttgart
11.06.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	3:2 ✺
30.05.24	Gael Monfils - Lorenzo Musetti	0:3 ✺
27.05.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Lorenzo Musetti	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.05.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL
- Dominik Koepfer
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.24	Dominik Koepfer - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
ATP Lyon
23.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
22.05.24	Ugo Humbert - Dominik Koepfer	1:2 ✺
20.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
18.09.20	Lorenzo Musetti - Dominik Koepfer	0:2

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