Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MATSUYAMA (JAPAN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 10 November 2023, Friday


	Duje Ajdukovic		August Holmgren

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.38
	1.63	2.39
	1.67	2.1
	1.71	2.08	Watch
	1.62	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.59)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duje Ajdukovic
57.2%

August Holmgren
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duje Ajdukovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Duje Ajdukovic - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ajdukovic will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Holmgren will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holmgren: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ajdukovic is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Holmgren is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Holmgren could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
08.11.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
06.11.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Zsombor Piros - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
23.10.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
08.11.23	Yasutaka Uchiyama - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	August Holmgren - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Egor Gerasimov - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
04.11.23	Kentaro Otsuka - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.10.23	Raphael Perot - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW

Duje Ajdukovic - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide