Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2024, Tuesday


	Duje Ajdukovic		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.78
	2.08	1.76	Watch
	2.17	1.75
	2.13	1.75	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.02	1.8	Watch
	2.17	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.74)	1.75 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duje Ajdukovic
45.4%

Luca Van Assche
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duje Ajdukovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Duje Ajdukovic's performance.

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Van Assche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Duje Ajdukovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Van Assche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Duje Ajdukovic - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ajdukovic will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Van Assche will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajdukovic: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Van Assche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Bastad
15.07.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.24	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
10.07.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Stijn Slump - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Luca Van Assche - Fabio Fognini	0:3 ✺
27.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Lucas Pouille	0:3 ✺
26.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLW?L

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