Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom) - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 27 June 2024, Thursday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Luca Van Assche		Lucas Pouille

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.95	1.36
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	3.1	1.38
	3.1	1.39
	2.75	1.4
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.28)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
33.2%

Lucas Pouille
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Van Assche's form might have worsened.

Lucas Pouille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Pouille's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Pouille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Luca Van Assche - Lucas Pouille Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Pouille will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pouille: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Van Assche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pouille will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
14.06.24	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 W?LWL
- Lucas Pouille
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	Lucas Pouille - Jiri Vesely	2:0 ✺
24.06.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.06.24	Calvin Hemery - Lucas Pouille	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Lucas Pouille	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.24	Lucas Pouille - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WW?LW

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