Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Duje Ajdukovic		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.92
	1.96	1.75	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.9	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.87)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duje Ajdukovic
48.1%

Matej Dodig
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duje Ajdukovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Duje Ajdukovic - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: Duje Ajdukovic will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Duje Ajdukovic will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ajdukovic is ranked ATP: 315. Dodig is ranked ATP: 214.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Dodig is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Dodig will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ajdukovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Duje Ajdukovic - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.56%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Matej Dodig - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.44%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Dusan Obradovic - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Martin Krumich - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Laurent Lokoli - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Matej Dodig - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Matej Dodig - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.09.24	Matej Dodig - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1

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