Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Edas Butvilas		Carlos Sanchez Jover

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.8	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.41	3.01
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.37	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	2.85 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
67.4%

Carlos Sanchez Jover
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Carlos Sanchez Jover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edas Butvilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Sanchez Jover could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Edas Butvilas - Carlos Sanchez Jover Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 269. Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 347.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Butvilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Butvilas could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Edas Butvilas - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Valentin Royer - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Edas Butvilas - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Edas Butvilas - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL
- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Andrew Paulson - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Sergi Fita Juan	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Edas Butvilas - Carlos Sanchez Jover: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide