Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Edas Butvilas		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.98	Watch
	1.68	2.06
	1.65	2.35
	1.67	2.07	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	2.09 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
55.4%

Mikhail Kukushkin
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Edas Butvilas aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Mikhail Kukushkin aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Edas Butvilas - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Butvilas will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Butvilas: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 Games - Butvilas (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mikhail Kukushkin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Butvilas (votes: 1 - 25%). Kukushkin (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 239. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 259.

Recent performances by Butvilas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kukushkin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Butvilas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Edas Butvilas - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.78%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
28.02.26	Felix Gill - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Edas Butvilas - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Edas Butvilas - Tung-Lin Wu	Wu Tung-Lin retired ✺
23.02.26	Edas Butvilas - Aditya Vishal Balsekar	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LW?WL
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
27.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Hugo Gaston	Gaston H. walkover ✺
24.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - George Loffhagen	Loffhagen G. retired ✺
18.02.26	Luca Van Assche - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Hynek Barton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 ??LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Edas Butvilas - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2

Edas Butvilas - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide