Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Edas Butvilas		Filip Misolic

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.9	Watch
	1.74	2.13
	1.81	1.96	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.79	1.94	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.84)	1.95 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
52.2%

Filip Misolic
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Filip Misolic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edas Butvilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Misolic than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filip Misolic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Edas Butvilas - Filip Misolic Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Butvilas will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Misolic will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Butvilas: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 245. Misolic is ranked ATP: 313.

Recent matches Butvilas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Misolic is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Butvilas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Edas Butvilas - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Filip Misolic - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Antoine Escoffier - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Edas Butvilas - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
02.02.25	Alex Knaff - Edas Butvilas	Canceled ✺
01.02.25	Chris Rodesch - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLW?W
- Filip Misolic
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Filip Misolic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Filip Misolic - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Dominik Koepfer - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
13.02.25	Jakub Paul - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Filip Misolic - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW

Edas Butvilas - Filip Misolic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide