Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife (Spain), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Edas Butvilas

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.38	1.59
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.84)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
42.2%

Edas Butvilas
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Maestrelli's form might have worsened.

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Edas Butvilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Maestrelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edas Butvilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Francesco Maestrelli - Edas Butvilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Butvilas will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Butvilas: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 243. Butvilas is ranked ATP: 247.

Two players are playing changeable.

Butvilas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Edas Butvilas - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
28.01.25	Christoph Negritu - Francesco Maestrelli	Canceled ✺
14.01.25	Clement Tabur - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Masamichi Imamura	2:1 ✺
07.01.25	Jie Cui - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?LWWL
- Edas Butvilas
Davis Cup World Group I
02.02.25	Alex Knaff - Edas Butvilas	Canceled ✺
01.02.25	Chris Rodesch - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.01.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
14.01.25	Edas Butvilas - Maximilian Marterer	2:1 ✺
13.01.25	Edas Butvilas - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 ?WLWW

Francesco Maestrelli - Edas Butvilas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide