Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Manama 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Edas Butvilas		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.52
	2.54	1.53
	2.38	1.51	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.36	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.24)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
38.9%

Mattia Bellucci
61.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Edas Butvilas - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Butvilas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bellucci will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Butvilas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bellucci (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 277. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 76.

Butvilas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bellucci has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Butvilas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bellucci might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mattia Bellucci - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.62%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Maxim Mrva - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Edas Butvilas - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Edas Butvilas - Elyas Abdulnabi	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Edas Butvilas - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Edas Butvilas - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Yanki Erel - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Casper Ruud	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
10.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLW?

Edas Butvilas - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide