Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Auckland - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Mattia Bellucci		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
			Watch
	1.64	2.13
	1.69	2.06
	1.67	2.1
	1.64	2.14	Watch
	1.63	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.93)	2.12 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
56.2%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Bautista-Agut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Mattia Bellucci - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bautista-Agut (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roberto Bautista-Agut will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roberto Bautista-Agut will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bautista-Agut (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 73. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 90.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
18.10.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Brussels
13.10.25	Marcos Giron - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Mattia Bellucci - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jacob Fearnley	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Christopher OConnell	O'Connell C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 ??LL?

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