Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Margaret Court Arena (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	07:00	ESPN
Belgium	11:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	11:00	HBO Max
Brazil	07:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	12:00	HBO Max
Canada	05:00	RDS App
Colombia	05:00	ESPN
Croatia	11:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	11:00	HBO Max
Denmark	11:00	HBO Max
Finland	12:00	HBO Max
France	11:00	HBO Max
Hungary	11:00	HBO Max
Mexico	04:00	ESPN
Moldova	12:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	11:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	11:00	HBO Max
North Macedonia	11:00	HBO Max
Norway	11:00	HBO Max
Peru	05:00	ESPN
Poland	11:00	HBO Max
Romania	12:00	HBO Max
Serbia	11:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	11:00	HBO Max
Spain	11:00	HBO Max
Sweden	11:00	HBO Max
United Kingdom	10:00	Discovery+
Usa	05:00	ESPN USA
Venezuela	06:00	ESPN


	Mattia Bellucci		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	4.9	1.18	Watch
	4.71	1.19	Watch
	4.5	1.2
	4.88	1.19	Watch
	4.5	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↓ (7.4)	1.19 ↑ (1.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
20%

Casper Ruud
80%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.8%

87.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casper Ruud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Mattia Bellucci - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ruud will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruud (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 36.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 73. Ruud is ranked ATP: 13.

Ruud has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ruud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ruud is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Auckland
10.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LW?LL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Auckland
14.01.26	Fabian Marozsan - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
ATP United Cup
04.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
06.12.25	Casper Ruud - Ugo Humbert	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Casper Ruud - David Goffin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Mattia Bellucci	✺

Mattia Bellucci - Casper Ruud