Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 November 2024, Tuesday


	Edas Butvilas		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.29	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.6
	2.32	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.55	Watch
	2.29	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.75)	1.56 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
40.3%

Sumit Nagal
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edas Butvilas's performance.

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sumit Nagal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edas Butvilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sumit Nagal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Edas Butvilas - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Butvilas will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Nagal will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Butvilas: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 251. Nagal is ranked ATP: 93.

Butvilas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nagal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nagal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nagal will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
06.11.24	August Holmgren - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
21.10.24	Edas Butvilas - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
09.10.24	Edas Butvilas - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
07.10.24	Remy Bertola - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Metz
03.11.24	Sumit Nagal - Corentin Moutet	Nagal S. retired ✺
ATP Basel
20.10.24	James Duckworth - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Sumit Nagal - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.24	Quentin Halys - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Yibing Wu - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 ?LWLL

Edas Butvilas - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide