Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki (Finland), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday


	August Holmgren		Edas Butvilas

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.54	1.54
	2.45	1.51	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.48	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.09)	1.49 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
37.5%

Edas Butvilas
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that August Holmgren's form might have worsened.

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Edas Butvilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for August Holmgren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edas Butvilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	0%	9.4%

August Holmgren - Edas Butvilas Predictions

Users Predictions: August Holmgren will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 168. Butvilas is ranked ATP: 255.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Butvilas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
27.10.24	August Holmgren - Egor Gerasimov	Canceled ✺
ATP Stockholm
13.10.24	August Holmgren - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Alexander Ritschard - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.10.24	Valentin Royer - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	August Holmgren - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 ?LWLL
- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Edas Butvilas - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
09.10.24	Edas Butvilas - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
07.10.24	Remy Bertola - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWLW

August Holmgren - Edas Butvilas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide