Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Edas Butvilas		Tristan Boyer

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.38	1.55
	2.34	1.67
	2.21	1.61	Watch
	2.20	1.65	Watch
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.23	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.75)	1.61 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
41.6%

Tristan Boyer
58.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edas Butvilas's performance.

Tristan Boyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan Boyer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edas Butvilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan Boyer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Edas Butvilas - Tristan Boyer Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Butvilas will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Boyer will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Butvilas: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Butvilas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 250. Boyer is ranked ATP: 162.

Butvilas has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Boyer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Butvilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Boyer is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Butvilas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Washington
25.07.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
18.07.26	Edas Butvilas - Clement Tabur	1:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
11.07.26	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Edas Butvilas - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tristan Boyer
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Tristan Boyer	Boyer T. Retired ✺
27.07.26	Gabriel Diallo - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Tristan Boyer - Bernard Tomic	Boyer T. Walkover ✺
25.07.26	Tristan Boyer - Lorenzo Claverie	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 ?W?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.09.24	Edas Butvilas - Tristan Boyer	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Boyer
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Matej Dodig - Tristan Boyer	✺

Edas Butvilas - Tristan Boyer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide