Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Edas Butvilas		Moez Echargui

	1	2
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.85
	1.40	2.65
	1.39	2.83	Watch
	1.41	2.95
	1.38	2.81	Watch
	1.40	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.48)	2.78 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
66.7%

Moez Echargui
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Edas Butvilas - Moez Echargui Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 203., and Echargui is ranked ATP: 371..

In recent outings, Butvilas has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Echargui is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Butvilas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Butvilas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Butvilas has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Edas Butvilas - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.44%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Edas Butvilas - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Edas Butvilas	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLW?L
- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Moez Echargui - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Moez Echargui - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Moez Echargui - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Moez Echargui - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Moez Echargui - Muhammad Shoaib	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Edas Butvilas - Moez Echargui	1:2
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Moez Echargui - Edas Butvilas	0:2
01.08.25	Moez Echargui - Edas Butvilas	2:1

Edas Butvilas - Moez Echargui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide