Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Matej Dodig		Tristan Boyer

	1	2
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.60	Watch
	1.46	2.63	Watch
	1.46	2.58	Watch
	1.45	2.80
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.41	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.56)	2.68 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
65.1%

Tristan Boyer
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matej Dodig's performance.

Tristan Boyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan Boyer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matej Dodig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan Boyer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Matej Dodig - Tristan Boyer Predictions

Users Predictions: Matej Dodig will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 174., and Boyer is ranked ATP: 209..

Dodig arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Boyer have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Dodig may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Dodig is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Dodig in today's match, at odds of 1.47.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.95%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Tristan Boyer - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Matej Dodig - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
14.10.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Elmer Moller - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Matej Dodig - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Marvin Moeller - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- Tristan Boyer
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Tristan Boyer - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
13.10.26	Tristan Boyer - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Zsombor Piros - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	Tristan Boyer - Timo Legout	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Tristan Boyer - Sebastian Gorzny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW

Matej Dodig - Tristan Boyer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide