Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Eero Vasa		Filip Cristian Jianu

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.5	1.25
	3.92	1.28
	3.63	1.24	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.65	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.73)	1.25 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eero Vasa
25.3%

Filip Cristian Jianu
74.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eero Vasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eero Vasa's form might have worsened.

Filip Cristian Jianu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Filip Cristian Jianu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eero Vasa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eero Vasa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Cristian Jianu than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Filip Cristian Jianu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Eero Vasa - Filip Cristian Jianu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vasa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Jianu will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vasa is ranked ATP: 482. Jianu is ranked ATP: 252.

Vasa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jianu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jianu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jianu is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Filip Cristian Jianu - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.1%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eero Vasa
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Eero Vasa	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Eero Vasa - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Eero Vasa - Siddhant Banthia	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Eero Vasa - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Eero Vasa - Patricio Alvarado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW
- Filip Cristian Jianu
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Ryan Nijboer - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Andrej Martin - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Akira Santillan	Santillan A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWL?

Eero Vasa - Filip Cristian Jianu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide