Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Filip Cristian Jianu		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.42
	2.74	1.5
	2.98	1.34	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.9)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filip Cristian Jianu
34.3%

Arthur Gea
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Cristian Jianu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Cristian Jianu than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Filip Cristian Jianu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Gea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Filip Cristian Jianu - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jianu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Gea will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jianu is ranked ATP: 252. Gea is ranked ATP: 161.

Jianu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gea has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gea is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Cristian Jianu
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Andrej Martin - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Akira Santillan	Santillan A. retired ✺
07.02.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Radu Mihai Papoe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WL?WW
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
06.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Arthur Gea - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
02.02.26	Arthur Gea - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Mpetshi Perricard G. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Arthur Gea - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WL??L

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