Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Egor Gerasimov		Gastao Elias

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.62	2.2
	1.66	2.29
	1.67	2.3
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.94)	2.22 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egor Gerasimov
57.7%

Gastao Elias
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egor Gerasimov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Egor Gerasimov's performance.

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gastao Elias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egor Gerasimov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gastao Elias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Egor Gerasimov - Gastao Elias Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gerasimov will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Elias will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players got a triumph in the latest matches.

Elias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gerasimov will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gerasimov to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gerasimov won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Challenger
05.01.24	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
03.01.24	Egor Gerasimov - Mathias Bourgue	2:1 ✺
02.01.24	Tiago Pereira - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
01.01.24	Egor Gerasimov - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
31.12.23	Egor Gerasimov - Martyn Pawelski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW
- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
05.01.24	Gastao Elias - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
04.01.24	Cem Ilkel - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
02.01.24	Kenny De Schepper - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
13.11.23	Gastao Elias - Max Houkes	Elias G. retired ✺
12.11.23	Gastao Elias - Blaise Bicknell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup Group II
20.09.15	Gastao Elias - Egor Gerasimov	Canceled

Egor Gerasimov - Gastao Elias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide